Alexander Erreygers

A study of the set of probability measures compatible with comparative judgements

Alexander Erreygers & Enrique Miranda

In the proceedings of the 18th International Conference on Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems (IPMU 2020), pp. 165-179, Jun. 2020.

Abstract We consider a set of comparative probability judgements over a finite possibility space and study the structure of the set of probability measures that are compatible with them. We relate the existence of some compatible probability measure to Walley’s behavioural theory of imprecise probabilities, and introduce a graphical representation that allows us to bound, and in some cases determine, the extreme points of the set of compatible measures. In doing this, we generalise some earlier work by Miranda and Destercke on elementary comparisons.